We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

IMCD:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMIMCD N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

$52.87

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

IMCD shares are trading around $52.9, notably below the 20‑day SMA of $56.66 and the 50‑day SMA of $52.85, indicating short‑term weakness despite a broader bullish trend signal. The RSI sits near 41, suggesting the stock is not yet oversold, while the MACD histogram is firmly negative and the MACD line sits below its signal, reinforcing bearish momentum on the near‑term chart. Volume has been on a decreasing trajectory, which can exacerbate price swings in a market that already shows elevated 30‑day volatility of roughly 35%. On the fundamentals side, the DCF‑derived fair value of $20.3 is far lower than the current price, yet the model’s upside/downside metric flags a 31% upside potential, implying that the fair‑value estimate may be conservative or that market pricing reflects growth expectations. The company delivers a solid 2.0% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 58%, supported by positive operating and free cash flow and a manageable debt‑to‑equity of 88%. Recent shareholder approval of all AGM resolutions underscores stable governance and confidence among owners. Looking ahead, the forward EPS outlook of $3.06 and a forward P/E of 17.3 suggest earnings expansion that could narrow the valuation gap.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term moving averages
  • Decreasing trading volume limiting price support
  • RSI indicating limited upside momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Upside potential suggested by valuation metrics
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Forward earnings growth improving valuation multiples

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Global specialty‑chemicals exposure supporting steady demand
  • Consistent cash‑flow generation and dividend track record
  • Strategic governance confirmed by recent AGM resolutions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin4.53%
P/E Ratio24.7
ROE10.22%
ROA5.17%
Debt/Equity87.66
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$322.3M
Free Cash Flow$303.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.8
Support$52.86
Resistance$61.56
MA 20$56.66
MA 50$52.85
MA 200$50.27
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$20.31
Target Price$69.48
Upside/Downside31.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.01%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.60
Volatility35.47%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.